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Pakistan’s Strategic Balancing Amid the Iran–Israel Conflict
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Pakistan’s Strategic Balancing Amid the Iran–Israel Conflict

Nuzhat Nazar
Last updated: June 23, 2025 9:33 am
Nuzhat Nazar
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As tensions escalate between Iran and Israel, regional powers are grappling with how to position themselves in a conflict that threatens to engulf the Middle East. For Pakistan, the stakes are particularly high. The country shares a long border with Iran, has strong diplomatic and economic ties with Gulf states, and is under growing domestic pressure to take a clear stance.

Contents
A Diplomatic Reset Under Trump’s PresidencyGuarded Neutrality: A Calculated PostureNo Military Support, But Ongoing EngagementBalancing Between Iran and the GulfInternal Pressures: Public Sentiment vs. State PolicyBorder Sensitivities and National SecurityDiplomatic Messaging: Clarity Without ConfrontationConclusion: Choosing Peace Over ProvocationThe writer is a journalist affiliated with Business Recorder, a newspaper.*The views and opinions expressed herein, and any references, are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of the Centre for Development and Stability (CDS).

But instead of reacting impulsively, Pakistan has chosen a path of strategic patience and diplomatic neutrality. Its leadership—both political and military—has signaled a clear intent to avoid entanglement while maintaining engagement with all key players in the region.

A Diplomatic Reset Under Trump’s Presidency

Trump’s Presidency

In this context, the recent meeting between Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff (COAS) Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir and U.S. President Donald J. Trump held symbolic and strategic significance. With Trump now in his second term, the U.S. is once again reasserting itself in global power politics. The visit highlighted Islamabad’s ongoing efforts to maintain robust ties with Washington, despite growing polarization in the Middle East.

Though no dramatic announcements emerged from the meeting, it was a signal: Pakistan remains diplomatically open and committed to engagement on global issues, even as it stays out of direct conflict zones.

Guarded Neutrality: A Calculated Posture

Islamabad’s stance on the Iran-Israel conflict has been deliberately cautious. Rather than taking sides, Pakistan has consistently called for peace, urging all involved parties to pursue de-escalation and diplomatic dialogue.

This is not a passive or ambiguous position—it is a calculated one. Pakistan understands that aligning with either Iran or Israel (or their respective allies) could carry serious consequences. Supporting Iran too openly could strain relations with Saudi Arabia and the UAE—key financial backers of Pakistan—while any alignment against Iran could invite backlash from religious groups at home and disrupt border security.

Thus, Pakistan’s neutrality is strategic, not circumstantial. It’s a product of balancing geopolitical realities with domestic sensitivities.

No Military Support, But Ongoing Engagement

Pakistan's support to Iran

Despite rumors in regional media suggesting that Pakistan may be considering covert support for Iran, officials have firmly denied any such intention. Pakistan is currently focused inward—on stabilizing its economy, managing internal security threats, and navigating a complex diplomatic environment.

However, this doesn’t mean Pakistan is disengaged. Diplomats in Islamabad are in regular contact with Tehran, Riyadh, Doha, and Ankara, working behind the scenes to promote dialogue. Pakistan wants to play a facilitating role in de-escalation, not an instigating one in conflict.

This approach is rooted in Pakistan’s broader foreign policy doctrine—non-intervention, engagement, and regional balance. It also reflects an understanding that the region cannot afford another war, especially one that could polarize the Muslim world further.

Balancing Between Iran and the Gulf

Pakistan’s challenge is not just ideological—it’s economic. Iran is a neighbor, with whom Pakistan shares border management, trade interests, and cultural ties. But Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and the UAE remain crucial economic partners. They host millions of Pakistani workers, provide fuel subsidies, and have offered repeated financial bailouts.

Any perceived favoritism toward Iran could jeopardize these relationships. This explains why Pakistan has avoided issuing strongly worded statements or openly condemning Israel’s actions, despite public outrage at home.

Instead, the country has relied on carefully worded diplomatic language, condemning violence and violations of international law without naming names. This gives Islamabad flexibility and keeps all doors open for future diplomacy.

Internal Pressures: Public Sentiment vs. State Policy

Pakistan-Reaffirms-Support-for-Iran

Within Pakistan, public sentiment—especially among religious groups and conservative media—is largely supportive of Iran. Rallies organized by Jamaat-e-Islami and Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan have called for stronger condemnation of Israel and open support for the Iranian government.

But the political leadership has shown restraint. The current coalition government, led by the PML-N and supported by the PPP, has largely avoided making inflammatory statements. Instead, it continues to stress the importance of economic revival, diplomatic balance, and national cohesion.

This shows that Pakistan’s foreign policy, while aware of domestic pressures, is being guided by pragmatism rather than populist fervor.

Border Sensitivities and National Security

Pakistan’s long border with Iran, especially through Balochistan, is another key factor shaping its position. The region has a history of militant activity, cross-border smuggling, and sporadic diplomatic tensions.

The Pakistan Army is already stretched with operations against the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), sectarian outfits, and Baloch insurgents. Any instability in Iran—or Pakistani involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict—could fuel extremism at home.

Under Operation Azm-e-Istehkam, Pakistan has launched a renewed push to stabilize internal security, and any distraction from this mission is seen as a potential risk. Islamabad is also conscious that a wider regional war could trigger refugee flows, economic shocks, and rising sectarian violence within its own borders.

Diplomatic Messaging: Clarity Without Confrontation

Pakistan’s foreign policy team has so far managed to walk a fine line—offering moral clarity without political confrontation. The country has repeatedly emphasized the need to uphold international law, protect civilian lives, and avoid further escalation.

By not naming Israel directly in its statements, Pakistan is maintaining a space for future negotiations—both with Western powers and Middle Eastern allies. This deliberate ambiguity is not confusion—it is strategy.

Conclusion: Choosing Peace Over Provocation

As the Middle East stands on the brink of yet another prolonged conflict, Pakistan’s approach offers a different model—one that prioritizes stability over spectacle.

In 2025, under President Trump’s revived leadership and shifting regional alliances, Pakistan has chosen to remain a balancer, not a belligerent. By engaging quietly, protecting its interests, and avoiding overt alignments, Islamabad is preserving its role as a potential mediator, not a party to conflict.

Whether this approach holds in the face of prolonged tensions remains to be seen. But for now, Pakistan’s message is clear: let others fan the flames of war—Islamabad will continue to advocate for peace, dialogue, and national interest above all.

The writer is a journalist affiliated with Business Recorder, a newspaper.
*The views and opinions expressed herein, and any references, are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of the Centre for Development and Stability (CDS).

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